{"id":263340,"date":"2026-06-03T01:57:17","date_gmt":"2026-06-02T16:57:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tenbizt.com\/en\/news\/uncategorized\/2026\/06\/03\/70-chance-of-advancing-south-koreas-2026-world-cup-odds-explained\/"},"modified":"2026-06-03T01:57:17","modified_gmt":"2026-06-02T16:57:17","slug":"70-chance-of-advancing-south-koreas-2026-world-cup-odds-explained","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tenbizt.com\/en\/news\/sports\/2026\/06\/03\/70-chance-of-advancing-south-koreas-2026-world-cup-odds-explained\/","title":{"rendered":"70% Chance of Advancing? South Korea&#8217;s 2026 World Cup Odds Explained"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Translation result.<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn-union.tenbizt.com\/contents\/crawler-dev\/image\/2026\/06\/CP-2023-0083\/image-d2120718-eeaf-4606-bf65-47ad632d773c.jpeg\" alt=\"\ud64d\uba85\ubcf4\" \ud55c\uad6d \ucd95\uad6c\ub300\ud45c\ud300 \uac10\ub3c5. [\uc5f0\ud569] class=\"img_LSize\"> By Jang Yun-woo, Herald Business \u2014 Opta, the football statistics outfit, released its favorites for the 2026 World Cup in North America. It gave South Korea a 70.35% chance of reaching the Round of 32, below Japan\u2019s 76.16% among Asian nations.<\/p>\n<p>On the 1st (local time), Opta used a supercomputer to run 10,000 simulations across the tournament\u2019s 48 teams. South Korea\u2019s projected probabilities were: Round of 16 \u2014 33.52%; quarterfinals \u2014 12.74%; semifinals \u2014 4.02%; final \u2014 1.30%; champion \u2014 0.36%.<\/p>\n<p>In Group A, Mexico led with an 87.61% chance of making the Round of 32. The Czech Republic sat at 63.38%, below South Korea. Opta put South Korea\u2019s odds of topping the group at 22.69% \u2014 behind Mexico but ahead of the Czech Republic and South Africa.<\/p>\n<p>Japan was drawn into Group F and posted a 76.16% chance to reach the Round of 32, the highest among Asian teams. Their probability of advancing to the Round of 16 was 33.47%, essentially even with South Korea\u2019s 33.52%.<\/p>\n<p>Opta\u2019s title predictions were led by Spain (16.1%), followed by France (13.0%), England (11.2%), Argentina (10.4%), Portugal (7.0%), Brazil (6.6%), Germany (5.1%), the Netherlands (3.6%), Norway (3.5%), and Belgium (2.4%).<\/p>\n<p>Hong Myung-bo\u2019s side will play a friendly against El Salvador on the 4th.<\/p>\n<p>In Group A, South Korea will meet the Czech Republic on the 12th, Mexico on the 19th, and South Africa on the 25th. The top two teams from each group, plus the eight best third-place teams across the 12 groups, will advance to the Round of 32.<\/p>\n<p>This will be the first World Cup held with a 48-team format, giving third-place teams in each group a pathway into the knockout stage.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Opta predicts South Korea&#8217;s 2026 World Cup chances: 70.35% to reach the group stage, lower than Japan&#8217;s 76.16%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/cdn-union.tenbizt.com\/contents\/crawler-dev\/thumbnail\/2026\/06\/CP-2023-0083\/thumb-6a81a73a-beaa-45ae-805f-edef9624d417.jpg","footnotes":""},"categories":[278095],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-263340","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sports"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>70% Chance of Advancing? South Korea&#039;s 2026 World Cup Odds Explained<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Opta predicts South Korea&#039;s 2026 World Cup chances: 70.35% to reach the group stage, lower than Japan&#039;s 76.16%.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/tenbizt.com\/en\/news\/sports\/2026\/06\/03\/70-chance-of-advancing-south-koreas-2026-world-cup-odds-explained\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"70% Chance of Advancing? 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