{"id":255479,"date":"2026-04-04T00:39:32","date_gmt":"2026-04-03T15:39:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tenbizt.com\/en\/news\/uncategorized\/2026\/04\/04\/germany-next-target-russia-expert-analysis\/"},"modified":"2026-04-15T16:46:35","modified_gmt":"2026-04-15T07:46:35","slug":"germany-next-target-russia-expert-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tenbizt.com\/en\/news\/military\/2026\/04\/04\/germany-next-target-russia-expert-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"Is Germany the Next Target for Russia? Expert Analysis on NATO’s Eastern Front"},"content":{"rendered":"

Translation result<\/p>\n

\" AP
 AP Newsis<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

A European security expert warned that Russia\u2019s next target could be Germany rather than NATO\u2019s eastern-flank countries. <\/p>\n

On April 3, German outlets reported that Erki Koort, director of the Estonian National Security Institute, told the Polish weekly Wprost in an interview, \u201cWhat would Russia gain by attacking NATO\u2019s periphery?\u201d He added, \u201cWhat matters to Putin is neutralizing NATO\u2019s rear. That place is Germany.\u201d <\/p>\n

Koort said Germany functions as the fallback hub for NATO frontline states that border Russia. \u201cUnless Russia attacks that hub first, an operation against Estonia or the Suwalki Corridor has almost no chance of succeeding,\u201d he said. <\/p>\n

Analysts have typically listed geographically close Baltic Sea states\u2014Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania\u2014and Finland as the likeliest targets if Vladimir Putin were to invade another European country after the war in Ukraine ends. <\/p>\n

They single out the roughly 65 km (about 40 miles) Suwalki Corridor between Poland and Lithuania as NATO\u2019s Achilles\u2019 heel. If Russia seized that corridor, it could link the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad to allied Belarus by land and isolate the three Baltic states from NATO members such as Poland. <\/p>\n

Last year, Poland accused Russia and Belarus of using the joint Zapad (West) exercises as preparation to seize the Suwalki Corridor. <\/p>\n

Koort offered a different assessment: \u201cThe Kremlin regards Germany as Russia\u2019s principal adversary. From Russia\u2019s perspective, an attack on Germany could even be framed as more justifiable than strikes on Narva or the Suwalki Corridor.\u201d <\/p>\n

Moscow, which helped defeat Nazi Germany in World War II, has used the stated goal of \u201cde\u2011Nazifying\u201d Ukraine as one of the Kremlin\u2019s justifications for the invasion. Russian officials, including Dmitry Medvedev, deputy chair of the Security Council, have repeatedly invoked Germany\u2019s Nazi past in a campaign of psychological pressure as Berlin backs Kyiv. <\/p>\n

Koort said Germans are pessimistic about their country\u2019s defensive capabilities. \u201cParalyzing Europe\u2019s most important country would be relatively easy, and Russia would gain significant propaganda value,\u201d he said. He also criticized Germany\u2019s rearmament since the war in Ukraine began, adding, \u201cMoney does not fight on the front lines,\u201d and arguing that Berlin still lacks the political will to meet the Russian threat. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A security expert claims Russia’s next target may be Germany, not NATO’s eastern flank countries, raising concerns in Europe.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/contents-cdn.viewus.co.kr\/image\/2026\/04\/CP-2023-0299\/image-941df1ad-9c00-426b-acad-6a7338e96714.jpeg","footnotes":""},"categories":[278104],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-255479","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-military"],"yoast_head":"\nIs Germany the Next Target for Russia? 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